Tech
Back to the Moon
53 years. 96 bags of poop. Still no return.
FEB 10, 2026
Market Odds
Moon Landing 2026
Artemis II flyby78%
Human landing8%
Doge-1 mission5%
Polymarket • Feb 2026
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Will humans land on the Moon in 2026?
8%
No chanceCoin flipIt's a lock
The Streak
53 Years and Counting
12 people have walked on the Moon. All of them American. The last was Eugene Cernan in December 1972. Nobody has been back since.
Notable Quote
"
"No, we're going straight to Mars. The Moon is a distraction."
Elon Musk
Jan 2025
X • Jan 2025
Market Stat
The Price of the Moon
Starship launches could cost $10 million - each!
$257B
Apollo Cost (Adjusted)
NASA • 1960-1973
The Pivot
Feb 9, 2026
Musk announced SpaceX is building a 'self-growing city' on the Moon. Mars pushed back 5-7 years.
10 yrs
Moon City Timeline
X / SpaceX • Feb 2026
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Elon Time
The Mars Promises
Every deadline missed
2011
By 2021— Red Dragon proposed
2016
By 2024— Humans on Mars goal set
2024
By 2026— Uncrewed Starship landing
2025
A distraction— Musk dismisses plans
2026
A priority— Full pivot to lunar city
Various • Feb 2026
The New Space Race
USA vs China
NASA / SpaceX
VS
China
2027
Target Year
2030
2028-29
Realistic Year
2030
10+
Launches Required
2
No
On Schedule
Yes
NASA / CNSA • Feb 2026
The Legacy
96 Bags of Poop
0%100%100%
Probably every bag on the Moon is filled with human waste.
NASA • 1969-1972
By The Numbers
Left on the Moon
What Apollo astronauts left behind
96
Bags of poop
6
Flags
3
Rovers
2
Golf balls
NASA • 1969-1972
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