Politics
Trump buys Greenland?
Trump wants Greenland. Denmark says no.
JAN 11, 2026
Market Odds
Greenland Acquisition
US acquires part22%
Trump acquires16%
US invades10%
Polymarket • Jan 2026
Drag and release – get a bonus
What chance do you give Trump?
16%
No chanceCoin flipIt's a lock
Notable Quote
"
"We are going to do something on Greenland, whether they like it or not. I would like to make a deal the easy way but if we don't do it the easy way, we're going to do it the hard way."
Donald Trump
US President
The Economic Times • Jan 10, 2026
The Target
57,000 People. 3x Texas.
Greenland is home to 57,000 mostly Indigenous people on an island three times the size of Texas. A January poll shows 85% reject joining the US.
Public Opinion
Greenlanders Say No
85%
Reject becoming part of the United States.
Verian Poll • Jan 2025
The Wildcard
Invasion Odds
0%10%100%
US military action against a NATO ally.
Polymarket • Jan 2026
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What matters more?
Notable Quote
"
"If the United States chooses to attack another NATO country militarily, then everything stops. Including our NATO and thus the security that has been provided since the end of the Second World War."
Mette Frederiksen
Danish Prime Minister
GBH News • Jan 6, 2026
Market Stat
The Real Prize
8th largest reserves globally. Essential for defense tech and breaking China's monopoly.
1.5M
Tons of Rare Earths
CSIS • Jan 8, 2026
By The Numbers
America's Shopping History
US territory purchases — and the one that got away
100$M
Truman 1946 (rejected)
25$M
Virgin Islands 1917
7.2$M
Alaska 1867
Historical Records • Jan 2026
Not The First Attempt
Harry Truman
Secretly offered Denmark $100 million in gold bullion for Greenland, citing military necessity. Denmark said no.
1946
First US Offer
Historical Records • 1946
Market Odds
Trump's Shopping List
Panama Canal35%
Greenland22%
Canada3%
Polymarket/Betsafe • Jan 2026
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What matters more?