Politics
Trump for President 2028?
Trump allies launch the Third Term Project.
JAN 8, 2026
Market Odds
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance30%
Gavin Newsom19%
Donald Trump3%
Polymarket • Jan 2025

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What chance do you give Trump in 2028?
3%
No chanceCoin flipIt's a lock
Notable Quote
On the 2028 race
"
"Trump is going to be president in '28, and people ought to just get accommodated with that... there is a plan."
Steve Bannon
Former Trump Strategist
The Economist • Oct 2025

Why This Matters
The Loophole Hunt
The 22nd Amendment bans a third term. But the 'Third Term Project' is actively hunting for loopholes in the 12th and 25th Amendments.
GOP Primary
Republican primary frontrunner

57%
JD Vance - the heir apparent.
Betsafe • Jan 2026
The Wildcard
Is The Rock Cooking?
0%2%100%
Would not be the first time a Johnson was President.
Polymarket • Jan 2026
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What matters more?
Market Stat
No hope for Harris?
Slim chance of Kamala to become President
"I'm not done"— Kamala Harris
2%
chance
Polymarket • Jan 2026

By The Numbers
Female President Unlikely
Who could be the first?
8%
AOC
3%
Whitmer
3%
Kamala
2%
Ivanka
Bet365 • Jan 2026
Progress
Trump's Legal Limit
Constitutional maximum completed (2 terms / 8 years)
63%
22nd Amendment • Jan 2026
Market Odds
Trump's 2029 Wishlist
US Buys Greenland7%
Canada becomes state #513%
American on Mars1%
Betsafe • Jan 2026
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What matters more?